Here is a (very brief) updated seasonal forecast for the Stanthorpe region:
Overall, the months of September, October and November will have daytime and night-time temperatures slightly above average and rainfall that is slightly below average. Median rainfall for Sept., Oct, and Nov is between 100 and 200mm. There is about a 65% chance of receiving 100mm over the course of these three months; however, the chance of getting 200mm is about 30% (so it’s less likely that Stanthorpe will get 200mm of rain during those months).
The El Niño has not yet started and may never get around to starting, though most of the climate models still predict an El Niño event this spring/early summer. There is still a blob of unusually warm water in the central Pacific (near the dateline and the equator), which may or may not develop into an El Niño.
Really, this predicted weather is probably a good start to the growing season…On the drier side with average to slightly above average temperatures.
September: Maximum and minimum temperatures are likely to be close to average for the month (not unusually hot or cold). With the clear nights, there is still some danger for frost. Rainfall has been predicted to be less than median for the month. There is a 75% chance of at least 10mm of rain in September (which is below median – usually there is a greater chance for more rain)
October: Daytime and night-time temperatures are likely to be average to slightly above average. Rainfall is likely to be slightly below average.
November: Daytime and night-time temperatures are likely to be average to slightly above average. Rainfall is likely to be average to slightly below average.